Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2008 - 2009 - 2010



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Ashley Erba 9 Warsaw 18:38 #4  
2  Beth Werge 12 Riley 19:08 #26  
3  Allie Pladson 12 Northridge 19:13 #31  
4  Darby Mountford 10 St. Joseph's 19:13 #32  
5  Kristina Galat 10 Penn 19:22 #43  
6  Cendall Ogle 12 Warsaw 19:23 #44  
7  Valerie Burns 12 Penn 19:24 #46  
8  Elizabeth Roush 11 Riley 19:31 #54  
9  Skylair Hilton 11 Northridge 19:31 #55  
10  Hope Jordan 11 Bremen 19:41 #70  
11  Ashley Name 12 Mishawaka 19:44 #78  
12  Ali Hochstetler 11 Bethany Christian 19:56 #100  
13  Diamond Setterberg 12 Fairfield 19:56 #101  
14  Miranda Stewart 12 Mishawaka 19:58 #109  
15  Cynthia Medina 10 NorthWood 20:00 #115  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 337 #17  
2  Penn Riley 338 #18  
3  Warsaw Elkhart Central 380 #24  
4  Riley Riley 427 #32  



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Penn 100.0% 1.9 50 31 76 44.9 28.8 16.8 9.5
Northridge 100.0% 2.0 51 29 77 43.3 26.7 18.6 11.5
Warsaw 100.0% 2.7 57 33 79 8.1 31.5 40.9 19.5
Riley 100.0% 3.4 62 42 86 3.7 13.1 23.6 59.5


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ashley Erba Warsaw 18:38 100.0% 1.0 84.3 10.9 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0
Beth Werge Riley 19:08 100.0% 2.8 6.5 28.1 20.3 14.7 10.8 7.2 5.3 3.3 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Allie Pladson Northridge 19:13 100.0% 3.6 3.7 19.3 18.3 15.5 12.7 10.2 7.7 5.3 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Darby Mountford St. Joseph's 19:13 100.0% 3.7 3.5 19.2 17.5 14.9 12.3 9.7 8.2 6.0 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kristina Galat Penn 19:22 100.0% 5.5 0.9 6.8 10.4 12.9 12.5 13.4 12.6 10.3 8.4 4.9 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Cendall Ogle Warsaw 19:23 100.0% 5.7 0.0 7.0 10.3 11.8 11.8 12.7 10.8 10.6 9.3 6.3 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Valerie Burns Penn 19:24 100.0% 6.0 0.7 4.8 8.5 10.6 12.7 12.8 13.3 10.9 9.2 6.7 4.0 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Elizabeth Roush Riley 19:31 100.0% 7.5 0.1 1.2 4.6 6.8 9.1 10.3 12.0 12.4 12.0 10.8 8.0 5.5 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Skylair Hilton Northridge 19:31 100.0% 7.6 0.2 1.4 4.2 6.4 9.0 10.0 11.3 13.3 12.3 10.7 8.2 4.9 3.9 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Hope Jordan Bremen 19:41 100.0% 9.6 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.5 3.5 5.4 7.3 9.5 11.6 13.1 12.4 10.8 8.4 5.7 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
Ashley Name Mishawaka 19:44 100.0% 10.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.0 4.4 5.8 8.1 10.5 13.4 14.0 12.6 9.8 6.9 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2
Ali Hochstetler Bethany Christian 19:56 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.7 3.1 4.6 7.4 10.0 12.5 13.1 13.2 11.2 8.2 5.4 3.3 1.9 1.1
Diamond Setterberg Fairfield 19:56 100.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.7 4.5 7.2 10.4 12.3 13.3 13.4 11.3 8.4 5.5 2.8 2.0 1.0
Miranda Stewart Mishawaka 19:58 100.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.4 5.7 8.7 11.9 13.4 14.0 13.0 9.4 6.5 4.0 2.5 1.5
Cynthia Medina NorthWood 20:00 100.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.8 3.2 5.6 7.8 10.2 12.5 12.9 13.4 10.6 7.4 5.0 3.3 1.7